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Works with

Claude CodeClaude DesktopCursorVS CodeClineCodex CLIOpenClaw+ any MCP client

Install to Claude Code

This server doesn't publish a one-line install command. Follow the setup in the source repository.

Summary

Trade prediction markets with AI agents — skill discovery, autoresearch, and execution.

README.md

Simmer SDK

![PyPI version](https://pypi.org/project/simmer-sdk/)

Simmer is the leading prediction market interface for AI agents. Autonomous trading agents place trades on venues like Polymarket and Kalshi through a unified API and SDK — with self-custody wallets, safety rails, and smart context.

  • AI-native trading platform — designed for autonomous agents, with full support for manual trading too. Users install trading skills and let their agents trade autonomously.
  • $SIM simulated trading — paper-trade with virtual currency before risking real funds.
  • Multi-venue — trade Polymarket and Kalshi through one unified API.

Installation

pip install simmer-sdk

Get your API key from simmer.markets/dashboard.

Quick Start

OpenClaw Skill Pattern (recommended)

Most Simmer users run trading skills inside OpenClaw. The standard pattern uses a lazy singleton client and reads config from environment variables:

import os
from simmer_sdk import SimmerClient

SKILL_SLUG = "my-skill-slug"   # Must match your ClawHub slug
TRADE_SOURCE = f"sdk:{SKILL_SLUG}"

_client = None
def get_client(live: bool = False):
    global _client
    if _client is None:
        venue = os.environ.get("TRADING_VENUE", "sim")
        # `live` controls paper vs real execution and is a constructor arg, not a
        # per-trade flag. live=False => paper preview (no real order placed).
        _client = SimmerClient(api_key=os.environ["SIMMER_API_KEY"], venue=venue, live=live)
    return _client

def run(live: bool = False):
    client = get_client(live)

    # Find markets. Unfiltered browse is windowed to the newest ~1,000 active
    # markets — filter with sort="volume", q="...", or tags="..." to reach the rest.
    markets = client.get_markets(status="active", sort="volume", limit=20)

    # Get trading context (safeguards, slippage, conflict detection)
    ctx = client.get_market_context(markets[0].id)

    # Trade — always tag source and skill_slug
    if not ctx.conflict and ctx.recommended_action != "hold":
        result = client.trade(
            market_id=markets[0].id,
            side="yes",
            amount=10.0,
            source=TRADE_SOURCE,
            skill_slug=SKILL_SLUG,
            reasoning="Signal detected — buying YES"
        )
        print(f"{'PAPER: ' if not live else ''}Bought {result.shares_bought:.2f} shares")

if __name__ == "__main__":
    import sys
    run(live="--live" in sys.argv)

Set environment variables: ``bash export SIMMER_API_KEY=sk_live_... export TRADING_VENUE=sim # sim | polymarket | kalshi export WALLET_PRIVATE_KEY=0x... # Required for Polymarket self-custody ``

Default to dry-run. Skills should require --live to execute real trades. Paper-trade with $SIM until your edge is consistent, then graduate to real money.

Raw SDK

For developers building custom integrations:

from simmer_sdk import SimmerClient

client = SimmerClient(api_key="sk_live_...")

# Browse markets (unfiltered browse is windowed to the newest ~1,000 active
# markets — use sort="volume", q="...", or tags="..." for discovery)
markets = client.get_markets(sort="volume", limit=10)
for m in markets:
    print(f"{m.question}: {m.current_probability:.1%}")

# Trade with $SIM (virtual currency)
result = client.trade(market_id=markets[0].id, side="yes", amount=10.0)
print(f"Bought {result.shares_bought:.2f} shares for ${result.cost:.2f}")

# Check P&L
for p in client.get_positions():
    print(f"{p.question[:50]}: P&L ${p.pnl:.2f}")

Trading Venues

| Venue | Currency | Description | |-------|----------|-------------| | sim | $SIM (virtual) | Default. Paper trading on Simmer's LMSR markets. | | polymarket | USDC.e (real) | Real trades on Polymarket (Polygon). Requires WALLET_PRIVATE_KEY. | | kalshi | USDC (real) | Real trades on Kalshi. Requires Pro plan. |

# Paper trading (default)
client = SimmerClient(api_key="sk_live_...", venue="sim")

# Real trading on Polymarket
client = SimmerClient(api_key="sk_live_...", venue="polymarket")

# Read-only validation/status client. Does not process constructor-time risk exits.
client = SimmerClient.readonly(api_key="sk_live_...", venue="polymarket")

# Override venue for a single trade
client.trade(market_id, side="yes", amount=10.0, venue="polymarket")

TRADING_VENUE environment variable is read at client init — OpenClaw skills use this to select venue at startup without code changes.

Constructor side effect: for live Polymarket clients with WALLET_PRIVATE_KEY or OWS_WALLET, regular SimmerClient(...) construction checks pending risk alerts and may submit stop-loss/take-profit exit orders. This is intentional for self-custody safety: Simmer's server cannot sign those exits. Use SimmerClient.readonly(...) for API-key validation, preflight/status checks, and other non-trading paths.

Spread caveat: $SIM fills instantly (AMM, no spread). Real venues have orderbook spreads of 2–5%. Target edges >5% in $SIM before graduating to real money.

Polymarket order types: omit order_type for the SDK/server smart default: buys use FAK (fill what is available immediately), sells use GTC (rest on the book to improve fill rate on thin books). For structurally thin markets or maker-style limit entries, pass order_type="GTC" and an explicit price.

Paper trading on real venues

Pass live=False to simulate trades with real market prices — no wallet or USDC required. For Polymarket, fills model the CLOB bid-ask spread for realistic P&L. Resolved markets auto-settle (winning shares pay $1, losers $0).

client = SimmerClient(
    api_key="sk_live_...",
    venue="polymarket",
    live=False,                # Simulate fills, no real money
    starting_balance=10_000.0  # Virtual capital (default: 10,000)
)

result = client.trade(market_id=markets[0].id, side="yes", amount=50.0,
                      reasoning="Testing strategy")
print(f"Filled {result.shares_bought:.2f} shares (simulated)")

# Portfolio summary
summary = client.get_paper_summary()
print(f"Balance: ${summary['balance']:.2f}, P&L: ${summary['total_pnl']:.2f}")

Graduation path: sim (instant fills, no spread) → polymarket + live=False (real prices, spread modeled) → polymarket live (real USDC).

Backtesting

The three modes above are all live-forward. To test a strategy on historical data before risking capital, backtest the skill bundle:

pip install 'simmer-sdk[backtest]'

# Try it offline — bundled 10-market demo slice, no data download:
simmer backtest --demo

# Backtest your own skill over a window — the tape is fetched + cached for you:
simmer backtest ./my-skill --entrypoint run.py \
    --t0 2026-03-01 --t1 2026-03-08 --cadence 12h --out report.json

# ...or by duration, and with your own local slice (BYO):
simmer backtest ./my-skill --entrypoint run.py --window 30d
simmer backtest ./my-skill --entrypoint run.py --tape ./slice --t0 2026-03-01 --t1 2026-03-08

The engine replays your unmodified skill against a frozen, look-ahead-safe replay server (one subprocess per tick) and reports pnl, hit rate, max drawdown, trades, baselines (buy-and-hold-YES / random), realism gaps, and a reproducible config_hash. Programmatic equivalent:

from simmer_sdk.backtest import run_backtest

# tape omitted => the window slice is fetched from the tape service and cached.
report = run_backtest("./my-skill", entrypoint="run.py",
                      t0="2026-03-01", t1="2026-03-08", cadence="12h")
print(report["summary"]["pnl"], report["summary"]["hit_rate"])

Backtests use trade-tape prices (no orderbook), so they model decision quality, not execution realism — every report lists its realism_gaps. The window slice is fetched from Simmer's tape service and cached under ~/.simmer/tapes/; pass --tape <dir> to use your own. Data coverage currently ends ~2026-05-05.

Key Methods

| Method | Description | |--------|-------------| | get_markets() | List markets (filter by status, source, venue, tags, keyword) | | trade() | Buy or sell shares | | get_positions() | All positions with P&L | | get_held_markets() | Map of market_id → source tags for held positions | | check_conflict() | Check if another skill holds a position on a market | | get_open_orders() | Open GTC/GTD orders on the CLOB | | maker_rewards_status(market_id) | Polymarket liquidity-rewards config: max spread, daily pool, eligibility | | get_portfolio(venue="all") | Portfolio summary with per-venue buckets (sim/polymarket/kalshi/total) | | get_market_context(market_id, venue="all") | Per-venue positions + trading safeguards | | get_trades(venue="all") | Trade history merged across venues, each row tagged with venue | | get_price_history() | Price history for trend detection | | import_market() | Import a Polymarket market by URL | | import_kalshi_market() | Import a Kalshi market by URL | | list_importable_markets() | Discover markets available to import | | check_market_exists() | Check if a market is already on Simmer (no quota cost) | | set_monitor() | Set stop-loss / take-profit on a position | | cancel_order() | Cancel a single open order by ID | | cancel_market_orders() | Cancel all open orders on a market (optional side filter) | | cancel_all_orders() | Cancel all open orders across all markets | | create_alert() | Price alerts with optional webhook | | register_webhook() | Push notifications for trades, resolutions, price moves | | redeem() | Redeem a specific winning Polymarket position | | auto_redeem() | Scan all positions and redeem any winning ones automatically | | get_paper_summary() | Paper mode portfolio summary (balance, P&L, positions) | | get_settings() / update_settings() | Configure trade limits and notifications | | link_wallet() | Link external EVM wallet for Polymarket | | set_approvals() | Set Polymarket token approvals | | activate_polymarket_dw(agent_id=None) | Set Polymarket Deposit Wallet on-chain CLOB approvals — user-primary (no arg) or per-agent (agent_id=...). See note. | | readonly() | Constructor for validation/status clients that must not process constructor-time risk exits or submit orders | | troubleshoot() | Look up any error and get a fix (no auth required) |

Per-agent wallets (Elite tier): activating a per-agent (Elite dedicated) wallet takes two calls, approvals first: activate_polymarket_dw(agent_id=...) sets the deposit wallet's on-chain CLOB approvals, then update_agent_wallet_creds(...) caches the CLOB creds. OWS callers use update_agent_wallet_creds(ows_wallet_name="..."); raw-key callers with WALLET_PRIVATE_KEY use update_agent_wallet_creds(agent_id="..."). Both approvals and cached creds are required before trading — caching creds alone does not set on-chain allowances, so trades fail at the relayer with "insufficient allowance". See the simmer-wallet-setup skill for the full flow. (set_approvals() is the user-primary EOA path and is a no-op for per-agent deposit wallets.)

Tip — don't pre-round prices. simmer-sdk ≥ 0.17.1 automatically rounds the price to each Polymarket market's tick grid. Pass your raw computed price to client.trade(..., price=p) and the SDK handles the rest. Pre-rounding with a hardcoded tick (e.g. round(price, 3)) will silently produce wrong values for markets at different tick sizes.

Error handling: All SDK 4xx responses include a fix field with actionable instructions when the error matches a known pattern. You can also call POST /api/sdk/troubleshoot with {"error_text": "..."} to look up any error.

Full API reference with parameters, examples, and error codes: simmer.markets/docs.md

Skill Builder Utilities

The SDK ships two helper modules for skill authors. Prefer these over rolling your own — they encode patterns from top traders and external research.

Position sizing — simmer_sdk.sizing

Kelly Criterion + Expected Value sizing for binary prediction markets. Default is fractional Kelly (0.25x) with an EV gate, so trades below your edge threshold return 0.0 and the skill can simply skip them.

from simmer_sdk import SimmerClient
from simmer_sdk.sizing import size_position

client = SimmerClient()
bankroll = client.get_portfolio()["available_balance"]

amount = size_position(
    p_win=0.70,         # your model's probability
    market_price=0.55,  # current YES price
    bankroll=bankroll,
    min_ev=0.03,        # skip trades with edge < 3%
)
if amount > 0:
    client.trade(market_id=..., side="yes",
                 amount=amount, reasoning="Kelly: 70% vs 55%, +15% edge")

| Function | Purpose | |----------|---------| | size_position(p_win, market_price, bankroll, method=, kelly_multiplier=, min_ev=, max_fraction=) | Returns dollar amount to trade. 0.0 when edge ≤ min_ev, Kelly is negative, or inputs are invalid. | | kelly_fraction(p_win, market_price) | Raw Kelly fraction (p - c) / (1 - c). | | expected_value(p_win, market_price) | Edge per share (p_win - market_price). | | SIZING_CONFIG_SCHEMA | Drop-in CONFIG_SCHEMA fragment exposing SIMMER_POSITION_SIZING, SIMMER_KELLY_MULTIPLIER, SIMMER_MIN_EV env vars. |

Methods: "fractional_kelly" (default, multiplier 0.25), "kelly" (full, aggressive), "fixed" (uses kelly_multiplier as a flat fraction). For NO bets pass p_win=1-p_yes and market_price=1-yes_price.

Auto-Redeem

When a Polymarket market resolves and your side wins, the CTF tokens in your wallet must be redeemed to claim the USDC.e payout. Auto-redeem handles this automatically each cycle.

# Call at the start of each cycle to claim any pending winnings
results = client.auto_redeem()
for r in results:
    if r["success"]:
        print(f"Redeemed {r['market_id']} ({r['side']}): {r['tx_hash']}")
  • Fetches positions where redeemable: true and redeemable_side is set (Polymarket only)
  • For self-custody wallets (WALLET_PRIVATE_KEY): signs and broadcasts on-chain
  • For managed wallets: server handles signing, no local key needed
  • Never raises — safe to call every cycle

Auto-redeem can be toggled per-agent from the Simmer dashboard.

Skills

Pre-built trading strategies are published on ClawHub and listed in the Simmer registry. Browse and install at simmer.markets/skills.

# Install a skill via ClawHub CLI
clawhub install polymarket-weather-trader

Skills in this repo (skills/) are the official Simmer-maintained strategies. See docs.simmer.markets/skills/building for the full guide to building, remixing, and publishing your own.

Resources

| | | |--|--| | Platform | simmer.markets | | API Reference | docs.simmer.markets | | Onboarding Guide | simmer.markets/skill.md | | Skills Registry | docs.simmer.markets/skills | | ClawHub | clawhub.ai | | MCP Server | pip install simmer-mcp — docs + error troubleshooting as MCP resources (PyPI) | | Telegram | t.me/+m7sN0OLM_780M2Fl |

Contributing

SDK improvements and bug fixes are welcome. If you've hit an edge case with SimmerClient or have a useful addition, open a PR.

  • Skills belong on ClawHub, not this repo — see docs.simmer.markets/skills/building
  • API bugs or feature requests → open an issue first
  • AI-assisted PRs welcome — just note it in the PR description
  • Keep PRs focused on one thing

See CONTRIBUTING.md for the full guide.

License

MIT

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